Retail Tragedy and Triumph

Prescott retail commercial real estateNo, the dark moments of 2008 are not yet behind us. The Prescott and Prescott Valley, Arizona retail markets appear to be booming…emphasis on “appear.”

Looks can be, and often are, deceiving. Our local retail shopping centers we may be repeating history by overbuilding in a flat market that cannot sustain the economic demands of retailers.

Hearing the Giant Sucking Sound

Prescott and Prescott Valley are now two distinct retail markets with minimal consumer crossover. Frontier Village was Yavapai County’s first major retail mall. Prior to its development consumers shopped at what was then called “Ponderosa Plaza” located on Gail Gardner Way between Willow Creek Road and Iron Springs Road. At this point in retail history, Prescott Valley was still in a state of retail infancy.

As a result of the housing boom [Read more…]

Lease Opportunity – Historic Prescott

Jack in the Box Prescott AZ Drive ThroughDrive through restaurants are in demand. Downtown drive through restaurants are in greater demand. Now, add to this fact that we have a former Jack in the Box drive through restaurant now available for lease and it’s located just three blocks from Prescott, Arizona’s historic downtown square and Whiskey Row.

Everyone in Prescott, and most repeat visitors, know the location. The traffic is an enormous 40,000± vehicles per day in the peak season.

Located on East Gurley Street, the property is on the main ingress/egress for nearly 1,000,000 annual visitors to Prescott.

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In order to prepare the property for immediate availability, the initial demolition work has been completed by the Landlord, at Landlord’s cost. Environmental mitigation and clearance report is available.

The property was recently sold to a new owner and the City of Prescott completed curb, sidewalk and entry work on the west side of the property. According to Donald Teel, a Principal partner with Commercial Properties Northern Arizona, “This property is undoubtedly the best drive through entry and exit location for the downtown area.”

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Prescott AZ Drive Through Aerial

For current availability and leasing information, please contact Donald Teel by email or, if you prefer, contact him by phone at (928) 777-8100.

The FED Rate and CRE

commercialwebpage.com fed reserveFinally, the Federal Reserve acted on the interest rate hike by bumping the rate upward by a quarter-point.

Long overdue, say most economists. An economy cannot be sustained indefinitely by a zero-based lending system coupled with a massive quantitative easement printing of trillions of dollars. It’s a formula for eventual disasters.

The rate increase is good news for Commercial Real Estate and will unleash some of the pent-up, sidelined investment. Another benefit is derived by CRE lenders who need margin to lend, not to mention that nasty word “profit.”

Janet Yellen, Federal Reserve Chair, stated, “…this action ends an “extraordinary 7 year period during which the Federal funds rate was held near zero.”

There will be no panic in the stock market… adjustments, yes. The rate will begin to impact the cost of money but also the savings return rates for the consumer.

What will occur between now and 2018 is an increase in the cost of products and services… inflation. According to the Federal Reserve, we are likely to see inflation at about 2.00% sometime in 2017.

Commercial real estate values will not be immune to the resulting ripple caused by the rate increase. My belief is there will be a return to a more predictable relationship between appreciation, property value and the cost to purchase and refinance.

My advice is quite simple. [Read more…]

Outside the Box Market Thinking

Think Outside the BoxMarket thinking is critical to commercial property owners. Thinking small is, well, putting it bluntly, an old paradigm and counter productive in today’s big CRE world.

Network largess is now a central key to lease marketing. Shrinking your exposure is deadly, while opening the marketing floodgates encourages multiple tributaries leading to more tenant activity, more LOIs and more executed leases.

In too many cases property owners have gotten twisted up in the pretzel of narrow representation, carrying the concept of going solo to new detrimental heights.

Learning over Lunch

A few years ago I met with a southern California owner at the Biltmore in Phoenix, Arizona who had invited me to lunch discuss and consider marketing his retail properties in cooperation with more than one broker each having and “exclusive” right to lease agreement.

Initially, the concept short circuited my concept of representation but as I listened to this seasoned owner my thinking began to change. Of course the so called “exclusive” was actually a modified arrangement where more than one listing broker consented to step aside in the event another procured an executed lease. Yes, the devil, as always, was in the listing agreement details and convincing multiple brokers to share a so-called “exclusive” listing seemed more than challenging.

The conversation broadened my thinking and opened me up to new representation blueprints that can help owners and add possibilities to a broker’s inventory.

The notion of broadening exposure in this way included many brokers working on the same property rather than simply one. The model began to have some appeal in an overbuilt market where owners require more, not less, tenant exposure and leasing opportunities.

The Big, Big, Big CRE World

With the advent of websites, blogs, YouTube channels with video sharing permissions, LoopNet, Twitter, Facebook, LinkedIn, Google+ and the myriad of other avenues available to owners, it’s my opinion that the power of the multiplier is already at work…and, therefore, why not harness this power?
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